Modelo: linhas; medições: pontos. Mesmas referências provisórias. Dados anteriores preservados e observações atualizadas em 29/10. Sem novas simulações, ajuste de parâmetros, deslocamento de relógios ou preenchimento de lacunas.
| Ciclo | Estação | n | RMSE (cm) | Obs−modelo (cm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| update_20261027 | Cantareira B | 577 | 8.97 | 4.48 |
| update_20261028 | Cantareira B | 576 | 9.7 | 6.16 |
| forecast_20261028_qconstant | Cantareira B | 0 | nan | nan |
| update_20261027 | Cais dos Banhos | 77 | 13.56 | -0.71 |
| update_20261028 | Cais dos Banhos | 29 | 14.74 | -0.18 |
| forecast_20261028_qconstant | Cais dos Banhos | 0 | nan | nan |
O forecast foi calculado depois de T0 e usa caudal constante: confronto diagnóstico, não demonstração de previsão operacional independente. A igualdade na sobreposição verifica reprodutibilidade com os mesmos dados.
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]
}{
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}Restarts contínuos em nível, profundidade e velocidade; nenhuma alteração de máscara inicial. Na sobreposição dos updates, diferença máxima de nível de 1,382 mm. Oceano, caudal e vento/pressão contínuos em T0. Calibração mantida para uso piloto dos níveis, com referências verticais provisórias. Picos de velocidade de 8,06 m/s nos updates e 7,08 m/s no forecast são isolados e contrastam com as velocidades das arestas; requerem revisão da reconstrução/geometria local. Não são velocidades físicas validadas.
O objetivo é apresentar os resultados do Delft3D clássico já executado pelo FEWS. Não se pretende ativar o FM no FEWS operacional. O levantamento encontrou mapas e séries exportados, mas os cabeçalhos ASCII usam índices M/N: a georreferenciação e a orientação devem ser verificadas antes da publicação. Ainda não há cenário clássico publicado.